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Japan’s 30-Year Bond Yield Breaches 3%—Is This the Black Swan for Bitcoin?

Tags: media social
DATE POSTED:July 8, 2025

Japan’s long-dormant bond market has jolted global investors awake, surging above 3% for the first time since 2000.

While this may seem like a localized shift on the surface, analysts warn it could mark the beginning of a broader liquidity squeeze that reverberates across risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Japan’s Bond Shock Sends Global Markets a Warning

Japan’s long-term interest rates crossed a critical threshold, sending ripples through global markets. For the first time since 2000, Japan’s 30-year government bond yield surged 10 basis points (bps) to 3.065%.

JAPAN 30-YEAR BOND YIELD RISES 10 BASIS POINTS TO 3.065%

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 8, 2025

Multiple analysts flagged this development, interpreting it as a potential first signal of a broader liquidity squeeze. This spike represents a significant reversal for an economy that has long symbolized ultra-loose monetary policy and near-zero interest rates.

Analysts warn that this could be an early warning for global markets, especially for risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC).

Japan kept interest rates super low for years, a move that helped global markets stay liquid and risk-on. Notably, that cheap capital fueled everything, including crypto.

“Japan 30yr yield breaks 3%, not seen since 2000. World’s most indebted, most aged, most chronically low-inflation economy is leading global bond markets down. Open your eyes, USA may not be far behind. Maybe it’s not Japan reacting to the world, but the world is about to follow Japan,” market analyst Fernando Pertini wrote.

Against this backdrop, the tone across financial social media has turned from curiosity to concern, with Barchart expressing a collective market unease.

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Tags: media social