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Bitcoin traded sideways before drop as Trump cited Trade Act for 15% tariffs after Supreme Court ruling, and the market starts watching the 150-day clock
It was one of those rare weekend sessions where the chart barely moves… yet it still feels like something was about to snap.
Bitcoin hovered around $68,000 all weekend, chopping inside a tight band, while Washington handed markets a story that...
Bitcoin is trading like a rates product now because real yields are the new “gravity”
Earlier this month, we saw the macro picture shift in a very real and tangible way. The record of last year's job level changed significantly, and markets treated that update as fresh information to trade on.
Two days later, inflation cooled on the headline, yields moved, and Bitcoin moved in the same cross-...
Bitcoin sometimes sells off hard on days with no crypto headlines. A recurring driver sits outside crypto: a yen-funded carry unwind that forces cross-asset deleveraging, then transmits into BTC through thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and fast position reduction in derivatives.
Here's the core mechanism in one line: if USD/JPY moves fast enough to trigger margin and VAR cuts, BTC can sell off...
A set of new ETF filings wants to turn election outcomes into brokerage-account tickers.
If approved, they’d also make “political risk” a tradable product on the same rails that already carry spot Bitcoin ETFs, pulling attention, liquidity, and regulatory pressure into the same lane.
Update (Feb. 23, 2026): Since these ETF filings surfaced, the “prediction markets” debate has moved from niche...
The Supreme Court's Feb. 20 decision striking down President Donald Trump's IEEPA-based tariff program as illegal creates a massive fiscal overhang that could function as an unintended liquidity injection.
The Court ruled 6-3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorize the President to impose tariffs, invalidating a program that collected at least $133.5 billion...
Bitcoin just got ~15% harder to mine as hashrate falls—pushing miner revenue back into the $30 stress zone
Bitcoin’s mining economy has tightened again, but its undertones could pave the way for a price recovery in the top crypto.
Over the past weeks, the network difficulty jumped, while the hashrate has shown signs of softening. At the same time, BTC miner margins have come under increased...
Stablecoin supply is crypto’s deployable cash. With a total stablecoin market cap of around $307.92 billion and down -1.13% in the past 30 days, the pool has stopped growing month over month.
When supply stalls, price moves get sharper, and Bitcoin feels it first in thin depth and bigger wicks.
Stablecoins sit in a strange middle ground in the crypto market. They behave like cash, yet they arrive...
European Central Bank President, Christine Lagarde, runs an institution that trades in certainty, and she does it in a moment that rewards ambiguity.
Earlier this week, the story around her took on a familiar European shape: official silence wrapped around very specific timing.
The FT reported Lagarde is expected to step down before her term ends in October 2027, with the timetable linked to...
Bitcoin's current bear market could worsen over the next year if the flagship digital asset fails to address concerns about quantum computing.
In a Feb. 20 report, Charles Edwards, Capriole founder, claimed that Bitcoin’s market value should already be discounted for quantum risk and warned that the discount could deepen quickly if the network does not move toward quantum-resistant code....
Bitcoin has until the end of the year to recover, or the Power Law will be invalidated.
The Power Law model isn't a prophecy. It's a time-based regression that treats Bitcoin's long-run price path as a power curve, and the “deadline” talk centers on a rising floor. Better yet, a lower band that rises every day, regardless of the price.
If Bitcoin chops sideways or sells off through the fall, that...